Werewolf Killing: Please Start Your Performance Chapter 507: A complex and brain-burning situation
[Player No. 9 please speak]
"First of all, I'm not a bear tamer, but the bear roared last night, which means there was a wolf next to the bear tamer."
"Not necessarily one, maybe there are wolves on both sides of the bear tamer. Although this possibility is very low, we must find it."
"Especially if you don't subconsciously think that if you have found a wolf next to the bear tamer, you can let go of the other one. This is definitely not possible."
After a pause, Player No. 9 added, "The bear tamer's board, the bear tamer is more useful than the prophet on the first day. After all, it can test two people at once."
"But as time went on, the bear tamer stretched his hips more and more, and even became a decoration."
"So, I actually prefer that the bear doesn't roar on the first day, so that we can set up a trap for three good people, the bear tamer and the two people around him."
"But the bear is roaring now, and I can see what's to come."
"If the bear doesn't roar, the wolf may not jump at the bear trainer. Once the bear roars, the wolf will most likely jump."
"At that time, we will not only have to distinguish between real and fake bear tamers, but also who is the wolf on both sides of the bear tamer, or whether they are both wolves. This will be much more difficult than distinguishing the prophets on the first day."
Which of these two situations is more likely for the Wolves to make a jump, whether the bear is roaring or the bear is not roaring, can only be said to be a matter of opinion.
Some people think that if the bear tamer doesn't roar, the wolf won't have to jump. It would be better to push deeply.
But Gu Feng believes that only if the bear tamer doesn't roar can the wolf jump. Otherwise, it will be difficult to survive.
On the first day, we have decided to trap three good people. We will take photos of their identities at that time. I am afraid that the wolf will not be able to hide them.
So, when the bear roars, the wolf may not jump. Anyway, it is not a one-on-one killing. When the time comes, just find a way to fight with another good person next to the bear tamer.
If it doesn't work, you can use the magic card to force the good guys out of the game, then self-destruct the next day, and then continue to attack at night, so that the Wolves can make a profit.
But if the bear didn't roar, the Wolves might not be able to sit still and would have to jump to disrupt the sight of the good guys.
If you still choose to push deep, you won’t be able to protect all the good people and will go straight to the highway.
In addition to Jin Shui on both sides of the bear trainer, who should shoot his identity in the outside position, and then push in the pit and poison in the pit, it is difficult for the Wolves to withstand this kind of indiscriminate attack.
In fact, the Wolves are going to jump on the bear tamer, and it’s very difficult for good guys to stand on the opposite side.
Because the bear tamer is not like a prophet, he can express his perspective through empirical logic and police badge flow.
The bear tamer's test skill is passive, he cannot win the police badge stream, and there is no logic to test people.
In this way, it is much more difficult for good people to distinguish between real and fake bear tamers than between real and fake prophets.
The most terrible thing is that once the bear tamers jump, the players around the two bear tamers will be put in the focus position, and there will be too much logic for them to play.
If he thinks that the person next to him is the bear tamer, he will have to beat the other person next to the bear tamer to death.
If you don’t recognize the bear tamer next to you, you have to stand next to the bear tamer, find the wolf next to the bear tamer, and talk about the reasons and logic, so that you can clear yourself of suspicion. .
But if you talk like this, the people around you will definitely not be happy to be regarded as a real bear tamer.
They will think that people who play like this are wolves, and they want to put the spotlight on them.
Under the influence of this kind of psychology, they will feel that the person next to them is a fierce jumping wolf, and the one outside is the real bear tamer.
Or even if you think the person next to you is a real bear tamer, you will madly accuse the other person next to a bear tamer of being a wolf.
Then the good guys will beat the good guys, the good guys will beat the werewolves, and the werewolves will beat the good guys. It is not even ruled out that the wolves will hunt down the wolves, and the wolves will step on each other's identities.
So, as long as there is a bear tamer jumping, the situation on the field will inevitably become very chaotic.
The two bear tamers and those around them will enter the wolf pit.
These people will always be suspicious of each other and look for each other's breaking points. Just think about it and you will know how nerve-wracking it is.
"Brothers, you must listen carefully to the speech and don't get distracted. You must not only listen to the speech and logic, but also pay attention to the details and strive to stand on the opposite side to confront the wolf."
"This is very important to us. Once we admit the wrong bear tamer and the Wolves take the lead, we will be passive, very passive. The main reason is that this board is not guarded and the fault tolerance rate is relatively low."
"So, you have to be more cautious when standing by, and use more layers of logic, especially those around the two bear tamers, and try to have a better conversation."
"As for the issue of hidden wolves, I personally recommend not to play the game on the first day. The situation is already very complicated, and if you add a hidden wolf, your brain may explode."
"Let's find the bear tamer first, and then judge who of the two people around him is the wolf. I think this is what we have to do on the first day, and let the other things go later."
The logic of player No. 9 is correct. There is a hidden wolf on this board. The fact that the bear does not roar does not mean that he must be surrounded by good people. However, it is a small probability event that the hidden wolf happens to be next to the bear tamer.
When the bear is not roaring, it would be too complicated to counterattack the bear tamer if there are wolves around him.
It’s not that you can’t disk, after all, small probability events do happen from time to time. The key is not to disk on the first day, otherwise, the CPU will burn out.
What's more, everyone's speech time is limited, and they can't draw so many logical lines. If you force them to draw, you may get confused.
"There are only 7 or 10 people under the police. At most, one wolf will be dispatched, or four wolves will be sent to the police. This is my preliminary judgment on the pattern of police on top and police on subordinates."
"Of course, theoretically it is not ruled out that 7 and 10 are both wolves, but it would be meaningless."
"Okay, I'll be the first to speak. That's all I can talk about. Although there is no logical output, I still hope everyone can recognize me. That's it. That's it."
After listening to player No. 9’s speech, Gu Feng felt that he was most likely a good person.
To be honest, it’s very good to be able to talk like this.
What's more, after player No. 9's speech, he has sorted out all the difficulties and possible problems of the Bear Tamer board, which is very valuable for people who don't know much about this board.
The most important thing is that 9's attitude toward Hidden Wolf is in line with the mentality of a good person.
If he were a wolf, he would definitely remind good people not to forget Panyin Wolf.
On the surface, it seems like I am reminding everyone not to forget about the logical behavior of Panyinlang. In fact, saying this increases the logical burden on good people. This is not really thinking about good people, but changing their ways. of disrupting the perspective of good people.
Player No. 9 thinks that the logic line of Hidden Wolf can be temporarily pushed back a little, and finding the bear tamer first is the top priority. This coincides with Gu Feng’s idea, so he thinks 9 Most likely he is a good person.
Why is it said that he is a good person with a high probability?
It's very simple. Nothing is absolute, not to mention the identity judgment. Sometimes the wolf will talk about something that sounds very good. It would be very imprudent to recognize him after just one round of his speech. of.
Therefore, now Gu Feng can only say that player No. 9 is most likely a good person, and his gangster status is relatively small, but whether he is a really good person or a wolf who speaks well depends on his side. And the policeman pointed out the wolf pit.
[Player No. 8 please speak].
"I am not a bear tamer here. I came to the police just to have a chat. When I was under the police, I was scratched all over. There is no soul in this game without the police."
"It's a pity that I am in a high position, and the only player in front of me is player No. 9, who is not a bear tamer."
"I don't know what your thoughts are when playing this game. I just hope that the people around me can play Bear Tamer."
"It doesn't matter if the bear roars or the bear doesn't."
"When the bear roars, I will know who the wolf is. As long as I talk to myself cleanly, I can vote out the wolf on the first day. If I can't talk cleanly and my speech can't compete with the wolf, then it's my fault. I deserve to be eliminated." ”
"If the bear didn't roar, I would be Jin Shui. In this way, Pan Logic would be bolder, without having to be cautious, for fear of offending others."
Player No. 8’s thoughts are really special, different from those of ordinary people.
To say that the bear didn't roar, the bear tamer was by his side and he just wanted to catch some golden water.
The key is that he still hopes that the bear will roar, and he will go to the anti-push position to show his strength, and use his speech to knock out the wolf. This is a bit like licking blood on the tip of a knife.
But just like he said, everyone has their own favorite things, and he likes to have a bear tamer around him, whether it's collecting gold water or catching a kill.
"Player No. 9 just said it right. If this **** is a jumping bear tamer, it will be difficult to tell the difference between a good guy and a good guy with his eyes closed."
"After all, bear tamers are different from prophets. Prophets have accurate killing and golden water, and can play police badges, while bear tamers can only have a vague identity definition of the people around them, which increases There is a lot of uncertainty.”
"The most important thing is that the bear tamer cannot get the police badge and cannot actively test people. In this way, it is difficult for us to judge who is the bear tamer and who is the wolf through the perspective of the person."
"No matter what, we must prepare for the worst. If there are no accidents, the Wolves will most likely make a strong jump."
"Although this will sell one more wolf, it can also completely muddy the waters. After all, when two bear tamers come out, they will affect four people, and everyone will definitely become one by then."
Player No. 8 feels that the wolf will most likely not be honest with the good guys in this game, and will definitely jump on the bear tamer to disrupt the situation. If the two bear tamers have similar opinions, then the logic will be complicated.
After all, if you want to recognize a bear tamer, you have to ask whether there is a wolf next to him, and there are two people beside him. Who is the wolf? Or are they all wolves?
This would be fine if it was in the outside position, but if a player happened to be next to one of the bear tamers, could one still remain objective?
If he recognizes the bear tamer next to him, he will have to beat the other person next to the bear tamer to death. Instead of doing this, he might as well know that the bear tamer next to him is a fierce jump. If there is such a thing The idea is that it will become more difficult to tell the difference between real and fake bear tamers.
"Oh, by the way, if the speeches of the two bear tamers are similar and we really can't tell the difference, we can also work backwards."
"For example, player No. 6 is a bear tamer. After listening to a round of speeches, if I feel that both players 5 and 7 look like good people, then there will be a big question mark about him as a bear tamer."
"On the contrary, if either 5 or 7 speaks like a wolf, then the possibility of 6 being a bear tamer will increase."
"This move is called reverse push. Some wolves come out and jump fiercely. If you are unlucky, you will be pinched to death by the two gods."
“In fact, many times, I don’t judge whether the bear tamer is true or false by the quality of his own speech, but mostly by the people on his left and right.”
“Especially when you are next to the bear tamer, it is easier to tell the truth from the fake. After all, the outside player needs to judge the identity of two people to draw a conclusion, but you only need to judge the identity of one person. ”
"So, reverse reasoning is definitely an important logical idea to distinguish the bear tamer. This method combined with the bear tamer's own speech should be able to stand on the right side."
"As for the No. 9 player in the front position, I think he is most likely a good person, because he has talked about a lot of useful things and has a relatively good mentality."
"Look at where he is standing and the wolf pit he ordered. If there are no problems, you will basically not be able to defeat him in this round."
"One more thing, when the bear tamers jump, it must be between two bear tamers. In this way, when we get up tomorrow, we can judge whether we are on the right side based on the information reported by the system."
"If the system still tells us that the bear roared, it means that the bear is still present, and the one who was pushed out is the jumping wolf. If the system tells us that the bear did not roar, it means that we are on the wrong side."
"So, no one should play in the outside position with the rhythm, but must play in the bear tamer. This is the awareness that everyone must have."
Player No. 8 is right.
The bear roars. If there is someone on the field who jumps against the bear tamer, he must appear between the two bear tamers.
The advantage of this is that when you get up the next day, the good guys can use the information given by the system to determine whether it is the wolf or the bear tamer who resisted the push on the first day.
Because the bear roared on the first day.
If the bear tamer is kicked out of the game due to resistance, the system will not tell the good guy the next day that the bear roared, it will only say that the bear did not roar.
If the Jumping Wolf is pushed out of the game by resistance, it will still roar because the bear tamer is still present and the wolf next to him is still there.
Player No. 8 can talk about this bit of common sense, which can be regarded as a good person's mentality.
But you can't recognize him based on this alone. After all, wolves can talk like this.
As for the reverse reasoning mentioned in 8 to distinguish who is the bear tamer and who is the wolf, it is indeed a very practical and effective method.
Anyone who often plays the Bear Tamer board knows this method.
So, when Player No. 8 talks about this, it is not an eye-catching speech.
"Player No. 9 said not to think about the hidden wolf's logic line on the first day, otherwise the situation will be very complicated."
"I very much agree with what he said. It is best for Hidden Wolf to wait until the third day before trading. We should not think so complicatedly in the first two days."
"However, we can pay a little attention to people who are suspected of passing on the message. Xiaolang doesn't know Yinlang, but Yinlang knows Xiaolang. Generally speaking, Yinlang will secretly pass the message to Wolf teammates. , lest the wolf's sword get to him."
"As for how to judge whether a person is delivering a message or speaking normally, you have to rely on your own experience. There is no ready-made method to learn."
"After all, everyone has different ideas, and the way of delivering messages is even more bizarre. You can't use formulas. You have to pay attention to yourself."
"Okay, that's all I want to say to the police, good guy in the hole, that's it, it's over."
[Player No. 6 please speak]
"Good guys, you two are really good at talking. You speak from a high position, there is no logic to explain, and there is no bear tamer to comment on you. You can still talk for so long. I really admire you."
"Like me, I don't know what to talk about. Originally, I wanted to tell the good people not to be too entangled in the hidden wolf. There is no need to be distracted on the first day, just stand aside."
"In the end, I was also talked to by both 8 and 9. They both talked about things I thought of and things I didn't expect. I feel like I have nothing to say anymore."
"But I have a suggestion, let the hunter come out and get the police badge to lead the team. It is useless for the bear trainer to ask for the police badge. Anyway, he can't win the police badge stream. It is better to let the hunter take the police badge and lead the team to return tickets. Such a good person You can also have a backbone."
"At least it can ensure that the police badge does not fall into the hands of wolves. The police badge may not be that important in this board, but it is definitely better than nothing."
"Of course, this is just a small suggestion from me. Whether to jump or not depends on the hunter himself."
"But don't let anyone use this to hit me later, saying that I'm trying to trick a hunter into jumping out or something like that. If anyone uses this to lead my rhythm, I'll give him a wolf fight. At worst, I'll be in the push position with him."
"As for the identities of 8 and 9, I think they both prefer them. The mentality of speaking and the things they talked about are quite good to me."
"But this does not mean that they are not wolves. Status preference and recognition are two different things. I am afraid that someone will say that my status is lower than them because I said 8 or 9 preference. I have to go in front of them. No. Things are going well."
"Okay, that's all I have to say. There is no bear tamer, so I won't waste time talking awkwardly. Besides, 8 and 9 have already talked about everything they can, so there is no need for me to say it again."
"Passed!"
[Player No. 5 please speak]
"It's finally my turn to speak. I am the bear tamer brothers."
"The bear roared last night, which means there are wolves among 4 and 6. I don't know if there are one wolf or two wolves. Anyway, there are wolves."
Player No. 5 got up and jumped into the bear tamer, in a very high state.
"I didn't hear the speech of player 4. I just listened to the speech of player 6. How should I put it, so-so, very average."
"It would be nice if he could talk like 8 and 9, then I might think that the 4 behind the police is a wolf, but he is a bit scratchy and the listening quality is not good."
"But just call him a wolf. We haven't reached that point yet, so I can only wait until I hear what player No. 4 has to say, and then I will decide which one of them is the wolf."
"He said hunters can jump out and get their police badges to lead the team, but I don't think it's necessary."
"The police badge does not play a big role in this board, that is, the last position is a ticket. For this little profit, I think it is not worthwhile to let the hunter jump out."
"It's best for God to remain silent for as long as he can. As long as the little wolf can't find God, their swordsmen will be trembling with fear for fear of cutting down the hidden wolf."
"But if a **** jumps out, they will not hesitate to use the sword god. Even if the hunter is out and can shoot, it doesn't matter to them, at least it is better than cutting down the hidden wolf."
"If Hidden Wolf was shot and taken away by hunters, they would not be blamed. It was Hidden Wolf who had problems with his own speech and was targeted by hunters."
"And I'm not leading the rhythm. Player No. 6 suggested that the hunter jump out. I'm a little bit like a hidden wolf here. He was afraid that he would accidentally be stabbed by the wolf, so he encouraged the hunter to jump out and help him attract firepower. , so that the person who eats the knife at night must be a hunter, and he can sit back and relax."
"Maybe I'm a bit malicious in thinking this way. Maybe 6 really just wants the hunter to come out and get the police badge to lead the team, so good people can rest assured and listen to the hunter return the votes."
"Originally I didn't want to talk about this idea. If I did, I would offend Player 6, but I still couldn't help it. If I think too much, I hope Player 6 will forgive me. I definitely didn't want to lead the game. You mean Hidden Wolf."
"I really just think you didn't do a good job in talking to the hunter."
"In my opinion, the magic card on this board must be protected as much as possible. As long as there is no clear magic card on the field to take the knife, the little wolf may cut the hidden wolf when he cuts it at night. ”
"The hidden wolves or little wolves are worried about something like this happening, so they hope God can jump out."
Player No. 5 is still quite hostile to No. 6.
From the perspective of being a bear tamer, 6 is equivalent to half a kill. If the police officer 4 can show his identity, or talk better and make people feel less like a wolf, then 6 will be killed immediately. Being beaten by a wolf.
Even if 4 is a wolf, 5 is a little suspicious that 6 is a hidden wolf. After all, only the hidden wolf desperately hopes that the magic card will jump out and eat the wolf knife.
The magic card does not jump. If the little wolf attacks people at night, it is really possible to attack the hidden wolf. Although the probability is very small, it is very strange sometimes. The more you are afraid of something, the more it will happen.
Just like a witch who is afraid of getting stabbed first, there are so many witches who get stabbed first.
There are not many cases where the little wolf accidentally hacks his elder brother to death.
So, this requires the magic card to come out and take the knife. The little wolf cuts without any psychological pressure, and the hidden wolf does not panic, otherwise both sides will be panicked.
"Player No. 8 and Player No. 9 are most likely good people. Their mentality when speaking is good, and the content of their speeches is also valuable."
"We talked about if there is a double jump, it should be done among the bear tamers so that it can be seen from the perspective the next day."
"When we talk about the hidden wolf, he will send a message to the little wolf~IndoMTL.com~Be careful with people who are suspected of sending messages."
"Don't be too entangled in the hidden wolf when talking to good people. The focus on the first day is to stand aside."
"Player No. 8 is even teaching the good guys how to distinguish between real and fake bear tamers. What he said about reverse reasoning makes sense."
"I think these speeches are very good. Although I don't rule out that there are werewolves in 8 and 9 who have given themselves identities, but there is no need to think bad things about them on the first day, and I have recognized them for the time being. ”
"Police, let's see how they stand on the side. The two of them chatted so well, I think their ability to stand on the side will not be bad."
"Player No. 4, you have to have a good chat. Next, I will decide who is the wolf among my police officers based on your speech."
"If you chat well, I will hit player No. 6. If you chat poorly, I will have no choice but to hit you."
"Okay, that's all I want to say to the police, the trump card bear tamer, that's it, passed."
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