Thriller Paradise Chapter 1083: Guess the number duel (Medium 2)

"Mr. Jing?" Feng Bujue immediately understood the meaning of this title, "Oh...it is Hualian ("Jing" is usually called Hualian in Peking Opera, Zhengjing, Fujing, and Wujing correspond to Dahualian and Erhualian). , Wu Hua Lian/Wu Er Hua) Huh?"

"Don't be poor with me.," Mr. Jing was still a little surprised by the meaning of his name when Brother Jue got it, but he didn't intend to continue to talk to the other party about this issue, "What do you call it? Crow's mouth? ?"

"Sure." Feng Bujue smiled openly, "You just call me "crow's mouth"."

"Huh..." Mr. Jing snorted coldly, "Then, I will start to ask questions, Crow's mouth."

As he spoke, he had picked up the paper and pen in front of him.

"Please." Feng Bujue was holding a cup of drink and supporting the table with one elbow. (The cart height is about 1.25 meters and the height is within the average range of adults. As long as they lean forward, they can use their elbows. Rest on the tabletop), responding very easily.

…………

According to the rules, the number-guessing game is divided into two rounds. In the first round, the challenger calls the note and guesses, while the challenger is responsible for making the question.

In each round, there are "two parts" that need to be called:

The first part is "declared" by the guessing party, who guesses the correct answer within "several rounds", and then the questioning party will place a bet according to the number of rounds given by the opponent, and the minimum bet shall not be less than this At the beginning of the matchup, it held 1% of the total gold; the bet size after this call is fixed, and the guessing party cannot raise further and must follow up.

For example...For example, guess the solution party declaration, you can guess the answer within "five rounds". Obviously, the probability of this kind of thing is almost equal to zero; at this time, the questioning party will definitely directly bid the maximum bet that he can bid, and the challenger must also follow up (refer to what the organizer said if the money is not as much as the other party. Rule two, bet all. Continue the duel).

Then, when the matchup is "completely over", according to the final number of rounds, the two parties will settle the fee.

Of course, this kind of situation is unlikely to happen...

Because the "this part" of the betting, that is, the part of the "bet round", is generally to give money to the guessing party.

As long as the guessing party says an exaggerated number of "one hundred rounds" or even "one thousand rounds" in the declaration, it is basically a steady win. So this part of the bet will be called by the questioning party... When facing that kind of numbers, the questioning party will definitely only call the lowest bet he can bid.

In other words. After the victory of this round, as long as the guessing party is not in the process of the duel and loses the qualifications, then by the time of settlement, you can basically get a small amount of money back from the side of the question.

This setting is mainly set in consideration of the obvious disadvantage of the guessing party in the duel.

Next, let’s look at the "Second Part" call note:

This part is repeated during the duel...that is, every round, the guessing party must place a bet. The same...The amount of each bet cannot be less than 1% of the upper limit of its holdings; and the questioning party has two options: first, call; second, surrender.

Calling. Naturally, let the game continue; and "surrender" means that the person who gave the question surrendered. After he paid the corresponding fine, the game came to an end.

If we say that the rule of "gambling round" is to protect guessers. Then the rule of "surrender" is naturally to protect the questioner.

Let's give an example... If there is no "surrender" option, then all guessers can use a very simple tactic to ensure that they win money, that is, from the first round. In each round, only bet the minimum amount, and then bet all the remaining money on the round that you can make sure that you can guess.

In terms of this tactic, as long as the answer can be guessed within fifty rounds, the guesser is invincible; this does not count the amount of "gambling round" before the start of each round.

Therefore, there is the setting of "surrender".

Of course, "surrender" is also limited, otherwise the person who made the question can also use this to achieve a stable win... For example, suddenly surrender when the game is going on for more than ten to twenty rounds. Take it as soon as you see it.

In order to prevent this from happening, there is a "surrender fine".

There are two calculation formulas for surrender fines in this guessing number matchup

The first type is applicable to the situation of surrendering in the first 20 rounds. The formula is: 10% of the amount held by the opponent at the beginning of the duel of this round* (50 + number of rounds completed)% + the opponent's surrender in this round 10% of stake + basic penalty.

The second type is the formula used from the twenty-first round: 10% of the amount held by the opponent at the beginning of the duel* (50-number of rounds completed)% + the opponent's bet amount in this round 10% + basic fine.

The so-called "basic fine" is divided according to the current rounds. The basic fine for surrender in 1-10 rounds is 5% of the amount held by the opponent at the beginning of the matchup. The basis for surrender in 11-20 rounds The penalty is 10% of the amount held by the opponent at the beginning of the matchup in this round. By the 21-30 round, it will rise to 20% of the amount held by the opponent at the beginning of the matchup in this round. Starting from the 31st round, the basic penalty will be returned to zero. .

Let’s give another example... In a matchup, both sides hold $100,000 at the beginning, and the guessing side bets 1% in each round. After thirty rounds, a total of $30,000 is lost; then, In the thirty-first round, he had a certainty of victory. At this time, he put all the remaining 70,000 dollars in charge.

When you see this, the questioner chooses to surrender...At this time, the penalty that the questioner needs to pay is 10% of 100,000 US dollars and multiplied by 20 (50-30)%, which is 2000 US dollars... plus The opponent bet 10% of the bet this round, which is 7000 US dollars... plus zero basic penalty, a total of 9000 US dollars will be handed over.

Although I vomited nine thousand at a time, it was much better than seventy thousand.

In short, when the questioner chooses to surrender, the matchup in this game is over. Taking the above example again, the result is that the questioner won 21,000 US dollars from the guessing party.

After completing this part of the settlement, both parties will proceed to the settlement of the "number of betting rounds". Assuming that the guessing party declared "within one hundred rounds" before, and the questioning party bid the lowest $1,000, then...At this time, the guessing party will give another $1,000 to the guessing party, with a net win of 20,000.

Above. It is the general plot of the “general situation” where the questioning party chooses the timing of surrender through the behavior of “guessing the solution party to increase the bet”.

So...under the same conditions, what if the questioner chooses the "get it when you see it" tactic?

I won’t list the detailed calculation process here anymore, let’s just look at the result... just follow the condition that both parties have one hundred thousand dollars and the guesser bets 1000 each time

If the questioner surrenders in the first round (note that the extra percentage for the first round is 50+0, not 50+1), lose 10100, and the second round will be 10200. Every time thereafter, An increase of 100 dollars per round. Until the tenth round.

In other words, if the questioner surrendered in any of the first ten rounds, he would lose money.

At the beginning of the eleventh round, due to the increase in the basic fine, the penalty for surrendering in this round jumped to 16,100, and then it was increased by 100 for each round thereafter; in this way, by the eighteenth round, the surrender will have "If you see good, you will close" the opportunity to surrender in this round. The fine was 16,800, and the amount earned in the previous seventeen rounds was 17,000, so you made 200, but...don’t forget that there is still money for the “gambling round”. If you count that too. I still pay...so I have to wait another round. By the nineteenth round, I will earn 18,000 and a fine of 16,900 + 1,000 for the round. At this time, it was worth 100...

So in the first twenty rounds. There are only two chances to "win stably", that is, surrender in the nineteenth round and the twentieth round. According to the formula, the former can earn 100, and the latter can earn 1,000......

But...you rarely be the one who asked the question once, do you end up earning a thousand? Don't forget that this game is "competitive", not that you can qualify without losing money.

So, let's look at the beginning of the 21st round...

At the beginning of this round, the formula has changed, but the basic penalty has also increased again. The penalty for the twenty-first round of surrender is 100, and it will be reduced by 100 for each round thereafter; it is obvious...from this round, the surrender mechanism has begun to tend to protect the questioner. Because after twenty rounds, the guesser's chances of guessing the answer are getting higher and higher.

In this way, if you count the 1000 in the gambling round, the "Twenty-Fifth Round" will be a watershed; the fine for this round is 22,700, plus the 1000 in the gambling round, it is 700, but the questioner wins The money... is 24000; of course, this is only earned 300, so this is not the point...

The point is that starting from this round, after each round, the winning amount of the questioner's sudden surrender will increase by 1,100 dollars.

After six rounds, in the thirty-first round, the "basic fine" was returned to zero, and the number of questioners suddenly increased by 20,000. In this round, if the guessing party does not raise the bet, the penalty after the questioner directly surrenders is only $2,100, and the money he has won at the moment is already 30,000, even if the money for the round is removed, the net profit is 26,900. ...

To sum up, the key battle of this guessing number game is between the 25th and 30th rounds... If the guesser cannot guess the correct answer before the 31st round, then As long as the questioner surrenders immediately, you can earn 29% of your chips. Even if you guess it in the thirty-first round, it will only save about 10% of the loss.

Of course, although I have said a lot, it is all just theory.

In the actual duel, various situations may appear...

Maybe someone can guess the answer within twenty-five rounds; maybe someone can raise the bargaining chip to put pressure on without guessing; maybe someone will guess it right, or watch After the 30th round, he forced a raise, but the opponent saw it through and followed up......

On the gaming table, fraud, calculation, performance, see-through... everything can happen.

In the world of gambling, probability does not come to respect you, and the **** of luck does not exist.

Praying for luck ten thousand times is not as good as honing the skills achieved ten thousand times.

The weak will be crushed, swallowed, crushed... and won't receive any sympathy.

Win and live... is the only justice in this world.

…………

One minute later, Mr. Jing had already written six numbers on the paper in front of him.

Next, he folded the paper, carefully protected it with his palm, and handed it to the man in suit and sunglasses next to the cart.

The latter also took the paper very cautiously, and turned around, blocking Feng Bujue's vision with his wide back, and then unfolded the paper and glanced at the numbers on the paper.

Two seconds later, the man in suit and sunglasses folded the paper again and put it in his jacket pocket.

He turned around, stood facing the desk again, and then said to Mr. Jing: "Once the number is determined, it cannot be changed, so I need to confirm with you. The six numbers just now...can it? "

"Yes." Mr. Jing replied firmly, "I'm sure."—Thriller Paradise

"Hmm." The man in suit and sunglasses nodded, "You have read the rules, but I still want to emphasize a few points..." He paused for half a second before continuing, "First of all, if you are caught cheating, He will lose the game immediately, and all the money will belong to the opponent.” As he said, he reached out and gestured to a small device on the table. “Secondly, the timer on the table is similar to the one used in chess games. It depends on the time spent by both parties; the total time for the guesser is forty-five minutes. If the answer is still not guessed within this time, no matter how many rounds are currently going on, the amount of both parties, and the amount of the'gambling round' ……All the guessers are'completely defeated', and all the money held by the losers is also owned by the opponent." He paused, then said, "In addition, the guesser’s call time and the questioner’s call The time and the time for the questioner to give feedback to the guesser’s answer are all calculated separately. Both bets and calls must be completed within one minute, while the feedback time is only 30 seconds; for those who violate the regulations, it is the first time. ~IndoMTL.com~ will be fined to the 1% holding limit at the beginning of the game, 2% for the second time, and so on..."

These rules emphasized by men in suits are indeed very important. Needless to say the punishment for cheating...For the "malicious delay" situation, the organizer has naturally calculated it when designing the game. At a high price, the ugly and lack of technical means of "dragging time" is basically unlikely to appear.

In this way, the rhythm of the game can be kept tight, creating considerable pressure...

The various performances of "guests" under pressure are exactly what the organizer wants to see.

"Ah~ah~ I know, can I start?" Feng Bujue became a little impatient after hearing the words of the man in the suit.

The man in the suit did not answer him, but looked blankly at both sides of the duel, and raised his hand to the timer.

After confirming the reactions of Brother Jue and Mr. Jing, the man in the suit said: "Since neither side has any objections, then... the duel begins!"

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