Thriller Paradise Chapter 1094: Provocative
Indeed, Black Butterfly's chances of winning are very slim.
In the game of neurasthenia, the advantage in memory ability is the most intuitive advantage. This point... Black Butterfly cannot be compared with Feng Bujue.
However, there is another factor that can determine the outcome and that is...luck.
In the previous round, although Feng Bujuehao scored 24 points, as he himself said, based on his "absolute memory", such a score is not too exaggerated in terms of probability.
Except for the 9 points that must be won, the remaining points can be regarded as a case of "five times out of the six flops with decreasing probability", and this "decreasing probability" is approximately from About 20% has been dropped to 7%, and then terminated.
In this way, what he did in this round...should be attributed to the category of "good luck".
There is nothing special about this, so this is not a "gambling", but just a "game". It is considered a "boring" game by Jue.
In addition, when the round ended, his seemingly "good" luck had actually changed the direction of the wind...
Because the cards that Feng Bujue turned over in the last three hands were all cards that "have been revealed"; in other words, when he finally changed hands on the flop, the "known The number of "two-phase cards" has increased from three pairs to six pairs.
In addition, the number of unknown cards on the table has decreased... When the opponent now flips an unknown card, the probability of turning a scoring card has once again increased to more than 15%.
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In the eleventh round, the black butterfly flop.
After Jue Ge cleaned up the table, there are not many remaining cards, so Black Butterfly is more certain about the suits of those cards.
In the first hand, she still opened a new card at a position closer to the known card at her own pace.
As a result, this is a "two phases" card, that is, a "scoring card".
Hei Butterfly doesn't have Feng Bujue's "obviously remember, but I can save it later". She will definitely get points whenever she has a chance.
So. She immediately turned around to find the other two sides of the new flop... and succeeded.
"This lady scored three points." The referee's announcement came immediately, "You can continue to flop."
The next move, the situation is still...
Black Butterfly turned out another scoring card, and she quickly converted it into points.
Make another move. Still so...
In this way, the black butterfly tied the score without surprise, and...due to the reduction in the number of cards, it is also known that there are only three pairs of cards, and she turned to a scoring card in the next hand. The probability is higher than 7%.
"Huh...how?" At this moment. Black Butterfly smiled and said to Brother Jue, "I'm not completely out of chance, am I?"
"Hmph...I was mentally prepared for this gap in luck long before the duel began." Feng Bujue replied indifferently, "Anyway...before you reach the'that score', just turn it over. Anything will do."
"That score?" Black Butterfly heard the words, thought for two seconds, and then said, "Oh~ you mean... 33 points?"
Black Butterfly had undoubtedly studied the rules of the game carefully before the start of the duel, so she knew that 33 points were a very critical score.
According to the rules. After the two parties have revealed the "Twenty-Five Phases" in total, players can end the game by revealing two "Elysium Pure Land" and enter the settlement phase.
So, leaving aside the disparity between the winners and losers, take a game where both sides have a certain score as an example... The twenty-five phases can be divided into twelve to thirteen or eleven to fourteen Happening.
In the case of twelve to thirteen, the score ratio is 36 to 39. At this time, the lagging side turns out the Pure Land of Bliss and adds an extra 10 points. 46 to 39, you can turn defeat into victory.
In the case of eleven to fourteen, the score ratio is 33 to 42, at this time. The lagging side turned out of the Pure Land of Bliss, plus an extra 10 points, 43 to 42, which also turned defeat into victory.
In other words, in this game, the one who has fallen behind. If you want to turn over, there is a prerequisite, that is, at least get the "eleven phases", which meets the minimum turn over conditions.
The ideal situation in theory is that the round of the twenty-four phases has been revealed on the table, and the lagging side flops, and the moment it turns out the twenty-fifth phase, it happens to hold 33 points. , And then... he/she digs out the "Pure Land of Bliss" again to end this game.
For the laggards, this is the fastest and best turnaround mode. If it continues to drag on... the score gap may gradually be widened, because when there are not many unknown cards remaining on the table, the probability of turning to a scoring card will greatly increase, and turning to two "same and clear" cards in a row The card probability is not impossible. At that time, the side with stronger memory and fewer mistakes will definitely stabilize the opponent's scoring rate.
"Since you know." Feng Bujue's tone still seemed very relaxed. Anyway, his opponent should know the meaning of this number. There is no need to be exclaimed, "Then please work hard in this direction."
"Heh... Needless to say, I will too." After Black Butterfly answered, he continued to flop...
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By the end of the eleventh round, the score comparison between the two sides was 24 to 30, with Black Butterfly leading.
After that conversation, Black Butterfly turned over two more scoring cards, consuming only one pair of two-phase cards among the known cards.
Next, in the last three flops...she turned out two "zero-phase cards" in a row, that is, a card with no known suit, and... Two sheets of "The Pure Land of Bliss".
Therefore, when this round is over, there are only two known pairs left on the table, and...the positions of the two "Blessed Lands" have also been clarified.
At present, the total score of the two is 54 points, which has revealed the "eighteen phases". The remaining cards on the table are 48. Among them, there are 20 known cards, consisting of 2 hells and 2 It is composed of the Pure Land of Bliss, 4 "Both sides are clear" cards, and 12 "One is clear" cards.
There are 28 unknown cards, namely 2 Infernal Hells and 26 photo cards.
In other words, at the beginning of the twelfth round, the probability of Feng Bujue being able to turn to a scoring card in an unknown card is two-eighths, and the one he failed in the previous round. The probability is basically the same, only about 7%...
Seeing this, someone will definitely say that he can't help but flip the unknown card? Wouldn't it be enough to flip three known cards and then throw the same position to the opponent?
The answer is-yes, but... does not solve the problem.
According to the "Flop Rules" of [Triple Nervous Breakdown]. In three consecutive rounds, the player must turn over at least one unknown card, otherwise he will be fined five points.
The purpose of this rule is to prevent players from consuming their own flop opportunities by constantly flipping cards that have appeared before. As for why it is "three consecutive rounds". Naturally, it is considered that some people will “flip three known cards without scoring” because of the wrong card memory; in this case, the person who fails two consecutive rounds of offense will have to bear it the third time. The risk of penalty points...
Combining with the current example, if Feng Bujue chooses to turn three known cards in this round to consume his flop rights, then it will be Black Butterfly's turn. The other party can also do the same... Anyway, Black Butterfly doesn't matter. As the party with weaker memory ability, she is happy to see both parties continue to flip out the old cards to help her consolidate her memory.
Furthermore, she is the "late attacker" party. In a situation where no one is willing to reveal a new card, the latter attacker has at least a "one card" advantage, because the first attacker must be more exposed than the opponent A new card.
Of course, Feng Bujue was not the kind of person who would deliberately turn over his known cards to defend.
True gamblers and villains understand...that kind of approach cannot be won.
For example, in the game of guessing the numbers, Brother Jue was stunned by the golden face... If he was thinking about "I only guessed three or four numbers, what should I do" or "The other party really survived the game." What to do in the seventh round", then he will retreat and avoid...In the end, he will lose.
The devil at the gambling table will not respond to the demands of the weak. On the contrary, they will devour those people...
Retreating, avoiding, giving up thinking, and turning to inner prayer and pleading, these behaviors will only lead to failure and destruction.
The one who can win is to be convinced at that moment-"I must be able to guess more than 5 numbers". If you can't guess, you may die, and die... it doesn't hurt.
Only such will can guide "fortune" and call "victory".
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"Ah... as expected..."
Twelfth round, first hand. The unknown card that Feng Bujue turned over...was a "yixiangming".
At this moment, he has two options: the first is a more safe way-give up continuing to renovate the cards, and turn around to flip two known cards. End your round. In this way, only a pair of known pairs is added to the opponent, and an unknown card is reduced. When Black Butterfly attacks, the probability of turning a scoring card in the first hand is three in 27, about 11%.
Another more risky approach is to flip another unknown card, if the card in the second hand is the same suit as the first hand. He can score.
So... what is the success rate of doing this? What is the risk of failure?
It can be calculated from the known cards. Of the 27 unknown cards at this moment, 22 are all pairs, that is, the "one phase is known" card, and 3 are the "two phases are known" card. The other two are **** cards.
If Feng Bujue wants to score, he has to find out the "heel broad phase" he first found in this round, and the probability is only about 3%; if he fails to find out, he faces three A possibility...
One, he has an 81% chance of turning to the "one phase is already clear" card, and then put together a pair of known pairs for the opponent, so that the probability of the opponent turning to a scoring card the next time the flop will rise to 15. %the above.
Second, he has a 7% chance of turning over to one of the other two "two phases already clear" cards, allowing the opponent to directly get a 100% chance of scoring in the next round.
Three, there is also a 7% chance that he will turn to the **** card, and this... is the best result, so the probability of the opponent drawing a scoring card will rise to 11.5%, which is not counted. many.
To sum up, no matter how you look at it, it is better to choose a safe method here.
But...
"Following this trend, I will turn over one more card, and the eight achievements will be..." Feng Bujue had already turned over the second unknown card as he muttered.
As a result, he turned over a "two phases are already clear" card.
Because he has turned the cards twice in this round, and the suits are different, it is impossible to score. Therefore, the one he turned up was basically determined to be the opponent's score.
"Um...It looks like ~IndoMTL.com~ The fortune is completely on your side." Feng Bujue saw the worst result, but he didn't care about it, "Presumably you will also get 6 in the next round. Score more than that."
Speaking, before he waited for the opponent to respond, he had already revealed the third card.
What is incredible is that... he turned over another unknown card; this time, it turned out "one phase is clear", so another pair of clear pairs appeared on the table.
"What the **** does this guy want to do..." Black Butterfly couldn't understand it, she thought to herself, "Secondly, I can understand...the arrogant and narcissistic man like him does have He might be lucky enough to fight at this moment; but the third hand...under the premise that it is impossible to score at all and will almost certainly give me more advantages, he still flips the unknown hand?"
"Please..." In the next second, Feng Bujue's voice interrupted Hei Butterfly's thoughts, "I know what you are thinking...hehe... don't worry about things you don't understand. Hesitate. You should take advantage of the memory blur, take the points you should get. If you make a mistake here... then it would be too easy for me to win." (To be continued.) () "Thriller Paradise" 》Only represent the author’s three-day view. If you find that its content violates national laws and conflicts, please delete it. The position is only to provide a healthy and green reading platform. 【】,thank you all!